Every October, retirees and individuals planning for their retirement expect the Social Security Administration to announce the cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for the following year. The COLA aims to counteract the eroding effects of inflation on retirees’ purchasing power. In this article, we go over how the anticipated COLA for 2024 could affect American retirees.
Understanding the COLA
The COLA for Social Security benefits is determined each year by using a specific formula that takes into account changes in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The CPI-W is a measure of inflation that reflects the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a predetermined “market basket” of goods and services. The goal of COLA is to ensure that Social Security benefits keep up with the rising cost of living, so that the purchasing power of beneficiaries is maintained over time.
Anticipated COLA for 2024
The exact COLA for 2024 will not be officially announced until October, but early predictions suggest a raise of 3% for 2024. That would boost the average Social Security retirement benefit by about $55 a month in 2024.
COLA Fluctuation
A 3% raise would be a significant shift from the previous two years, which saw COLA adjustments at 5.9% and 8.7%. These adjustments raised the average retirement benefit by $92 in 2022 and $146 this year. Compared to these percentages, some might consider a 3% raise a disappointment, but it’s important to remember that annual COLA calculations are meant to offset the price increases consumers have faced since the previous year’s COLA was determined. Therefore, a 3% raise would be a sign that inflation is cooling.
It’s also important to point out that a 3% raise is still above average. Looking at the last two decades, the average inflation adjustment for Social Security benefits was 2.6%, and three of those years – 2010, 2011, and 2016 – saw no adjustment at all. Even so, when comparing this year’s 8.7% hike to the projected 3% for next year, retirees on a tight budget will feel the difference.
How Social Security Beneficiaries Can Still Benefit
Retirees may be temporarily profiting from the COLA raises in these latter years, and those who are able to increase savings for the remainder of 2023 are in a position to benefit. With 15-year highs in interest rates on certificates of deposit and money market savings accounts, retirees may want to think about transferring available assets to these safe saving vehicles as they offer a better rate of return than traditional savings accounts.
