Understanding how economic trends influence construction can provide valuable insights for businesses and professionals in the field. For instance, high interest rates and slower economic growth will put increasing pressure on construction and manufacturing this year. Here’s a comprehensive look at how the current economic landscape is likely to impact construction in 2024.
Inflation and Interest Rates
The economy is still experiencing inflation pressures from energy prices, wages, and consumer spending, which impacts project financing.
Additionally, with interest rates playing a pivotal role in construction financing, the Federal Reserve’s actions this year regarding cutting interest rates hold significant sway. Lower interest rates will stimulate borrowing for construction projects, reducing overall borrowing costs for businesses and clients. This creates incentives for investment in construction ventures, particularly in the residential sector.
Supply Chain
Late last year, construction companies were still facing supply chain issues, but construction firms can expect supply chain improvements as the year progresses, which will help reduce delays in construction projects. The pandemic changed communication methods between the construction industry and suppliers, with construction firms adopting communication technologies to streamline material ordering workflows. With access to more complete and speedy information, construction firms are empowered to keep projects on track.
Labor Market
The construction job sector experienced growth last year. However, construction job openings have decreased recently, even though wages have increased by 4.9%. This highlights the importance of competitive pay and innovative training programs to attract and retain employees.
Recession Worries
Higher employment and higher wages create more spending power and add to the supply and demand issues perpetuating a potential recession. With interest rates stalling and contributing to a decrease in project financing power, an economic recession is still top of mind for businesses. While signs at the moment are pointing to a soft landing, the construction industry should still be preparing for economic shifts.
Shifting Geopolitical Landscape
The Israel-Hamas conflict heightens concerns about the possibility of broader tensions in the Middle East, which could potentially impact energy and other raw material prices. U.S. sanctions on Iran might exacerbate these issues, while ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China could contribute to inflationary pressures.
